::  Posts  ::  RSS  ::  ◂◂RSS  ::  Contact

Looking into AI Risk

June 26th, 2017
giving, airisk  [html]
In considering what to work on, I wrote that recently many people I respect have started to think that AI risk is the most valuable place to focus EA efforts. For example, 80000 Hours ranks it first on their "list of global issues", taking into account "scale, neglectedness, and solvability". On the other hand, I have a lot of friends working in machine learning, and none of them think AI risk is worth working on now. This level of disagreement is very strange, and kind of worrying.

What I'm planning to spend the next few days on is getting a better understanding of where this difference comes from. I think I'm in a good position to do this: I'm close to both groups, have some technical background as a programmer, and have some time. I see two ways this could go:

  • If after looking into it more I still think AI risk is not a valuable place to be working, I may be able to convince others of this. Since 80000 Hours and other EAs are currently suggesting a lot of people go into this field, if it turns out we're overvaluing it then those people could work on other things.

  • If I change my mind and start thinking AI risk is something we should be working on, I may convince some of my friends in machine learning. It's also likely that something in this direction would be close enough to my skills to be a good career fit and I should consider working on it.

Of course it's also possible that I won't get to the root of the disagreement, or that I won't convince anyone except myself, but I do think it's worth trying.

Rough plan: read a bunch of stuff to get background, talk to a lot of people, write things up. Things I'm planning to read:

The list above is entirely people who think AI risk should be prioritized, aside from the Ceglowski post at the end, so I'm especially interested to read (if they exist) pieces where machine learning experts talk about why they don't think AI risk is a high priority. I'm also interested in other general AI risk background reading, and suggestions of people to talk to.

Comment via: google plus, facebook

Recent posts on blogs I like:

Absolute scale corrupts absolutely

The Internet has gotten too big. Growing up, I, like many computery people of my generation, was an idealist. I believed that better, faster communication would be an unmitigated improvement to society. "World peace through better communication,"…

via apenwarr August 19, 2019

Traces

At naptime Anna listens to recordings of novels recorded by Jeff’s grandmother. It is the main way she will know Winnie, as it is the main way I have ever known Winnie. Some of the recordings are missing parts, and Suzie often fills in the first few sente…

via The whole sky August 18, 2019

One Night Ultimate Werewolf

I really like One Night Ultimate Werewolf (ONUW), and recommend trying it out. The Daybreak expansion is also good (but I’d skip the later games in the series). App For those who’ve played a lot and wish the night took 20 seconds rather than a few minutes…

via The sideways view August 18, 2019

more     (via openring)

More Posts:


  ::  Posts  ::  RSS  ::  ◂◂RSS  ::  Contact