Somerville Roads Getting More Dangerous?

February 23rd, 2023
cars, somerville
In a local discussion of whether our attempts to reduce traffic fatalities were working someone posted:

I've lived in Somerville for over 40 years and have visited even longer. The roads are more dangerous than ever.

With all the Vision Zero work, and earlier traffic safety progress, this would be surprising and disappointing if it were the case. Is it?

Somerville is an interesting city to look at because it was mostly built out decades ago. The last large change was bulldozing I-93 through in the late 1960s:

This makes fatality rates over time comparable in a way they wouldn't be if you were looking at a city that had expanded, contracted, or been seriously rebuilt.

I pulled accident date from the national Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) which goes back to 1975. Here's what I see for the number of fatal crashes annually (code):

blue bars are annual counts; red line is a 10y centered moving average

Over the last 40y it's gotten about 3x better, though 2019 was a pretty bad year.

I'd also be interested in whether our roads are becoming more dangerous for pedestrians specifically. Is the decrease just due to airbags, crash testing, and cars becoming safer for their occupants? While pedestrian data in FARS only goes back to 1991, we can still graph what we have:

It does look like we're making progress specifically within pedestrian safety as well, though 2019 now sticks out even more.

(I'm being lazy here and charting "traffic accidents with a fatality and involving at least one pedestrian". The FARS data does make it possible to see whether it was a pedestrian that died, but this requires joining CSVs in a way that's a bit awkward. In the ones I've spot checked the fatality was a pedestrian, which is what you'd expect.)

Comment via: facebook, lesswrong, mastodon, substack

Recent posts on blogs I like:

Food Fridays: The Joy of Vegan Baking

My secret to delicious vegan baking is the book The Joy of Vegan Baking.

via Thing of Things December 26, 2025

Opinionated takes on parenting

This post is a collection of parenting takes that sometimes go through my head, based on my experience raising our two boys (5 and 2 years old). All of this is based on my experience and might not apply to others (see the law of equal and opposite advice)…

via Victoria Krakovna December 16, 2025

How to Make a Christmas Wreath

Yesterday, I made a Christmas wreath. Here's how to make one. First, find an evergreen tree near your house. Clip off a few branches from the tree. Try to have as many leaves or needles on the branches as possible. Next, bring them home. What I usu…

via Anna Wise's Blog Posts December 6, 2025

more     (via openring)