{"items": [{"author": "Jeff&nbsp;Kaufman", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=992974079862", "anchor": "fb-992974079862", "service": "fb", "text": "David Chudzicki", "timestamp": "1557399125"}, {"author": "Hal", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=992986809352", "anchor": "fb-992986809352", "service": "fb", "text": "\"If states start being permitted to fully ban abortion, some state will still allow it in 2040.\"<br>If states aren't permitted to ban abortion by 2040, do you win the bet, or is the bet off? Betting on conditionals is interesting, since statistics quickly becomes counterintuitive.", "timestamp": "1557407628"}, {"author": "Jeff&nbsp;Kaufman", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=992986809352&reply_comment_id=993038645472", "anchor": "fb-992986809352_993038645472", "service": "fb", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;Hal the bet is off in that case", "timestamp": "1557432452"}, {"author": "Danni", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=993039543672", "anchor": "fb-993039543672", "service": "fb", "text": "It sounds to me like a requisite condition for using the Long Bets system is not only that you have low trust in the person with whom you're betting, but also that you have high trust in Long Bets, or at least that you have higher trust in Long Bets than you do in the person with whom you're betting.", "timestamp": "1557432880"}, {"author": "Jeff&nbsp;Kaufman", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=993039543672&reply_comment_id=993040581592", "anchor": "fb-993039543672_993040581592", "service": "fb", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;Danni longbets is part of the Long Now foundation, and I do expect them to stick around and follow their procedures", "timestamp": "1557433638"}, {"author": "Christopher", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=993043256232", "anchor": "fb-993043256232", "service": "fb", "text": "tangential: how do you decide how much to bet for? care to share current values of any bets?", "timestamp": "1557435824"}, {"author": "Jeff&nbsp;Kaufman", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=993043256232&reply_comment_id=993043450842", "anchor": "fb-993043256232_993043450842", "service": "fb", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;Christopher bets are all written tersely on https://www.jefftk.com/future which includes the amounts<br><br>Generally I prefer $10 to $100", "timestamp": "1557435897"}, {"author": "Hollis", "source_link": "https://www.facebook.com/jefftk/posts/992954558982?comment_id=993043256232&reply_comment_id=993083780022", "anchor": "fb-993043256232_993083780022", "service": "fb", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;that Kurzweil one, though.", "timestamp": "1557458218"}]}