{"items": [{"author": "steve2152", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BFBFNvRCyLL3wP4um#ddXCMvy9wEvLkHZ7S", "anchor": "lw-ddXCMvy9wEvLkHZ7S", "service": "lw", "text": "My view has been that the autocorrelation drops to ~0 after a couple days (assuming people aren't doing really dumb things, like going out with fevers and aches and new loss of taste). So seeing one person twice a few days apart is pretty much twice as bad as seeing them once, but seeing them twice within 24 hours, or once for twice as long duration, is less than twice as bad.<br><br>I hate it when people say \"Whatever, I can be with Person X, I'm already exposed to them, I saw them last week.\" Drives me nuts! The other one I hate is when someone said to me \"Don't worry! I got a negative COVID-19 test just last week!\"", "timestamp": 1598104061}, {"author": "jefftk", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BFBFNvRCyLL3wP4um#qKtCHcCrygk843E7P", "anchor": "lw-qKtCHcCrygk843E7P", "service": "lw", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;This is a great point: it looks like peak infectiousness is quite short-lived (~2d?), so even if someone does have a contacts model they should be counting person A this week and person A last week as separate contacts.\n", "timestamp": 1598115208}, {"author": "steve2152", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BFBFNvRCyLL3wP4um#Samfsqwyrzr7Hxgan", "anchor": "lw-Samfsqwyrzr7Hxgan", "service": "lw", "text": "&rarr;&nbsp;&rarr;&nbsp;I was thinking \"peak infectiousness without being obviously symptomatic\" is typically quite short-lived. It might be that obviously-sick people are infectious for weeks; not sure.", "timestamp": 1598122739}, {"author": "skybrian", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BFBFNvRCyLL3wP4um#9LpdNAznfsh3Akehb", "anchor": "lw-9LpdNAznfsh3Akehb", "service": "lw", "text": "One aspect that might be worth thinking about is the speed of spread. Seeing someone once a week means that it slows down the spread by 3 1/2 days on average, while seeing them once a month slows things down by 15 days on average. It also seems like they are more likely to find out they have it before they spread it to you?", "timestamp": 1598125332}]}