{"items": [{"author": "cjbprime", "source_link": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23775670", "anchor": "hn-23775670", "service": "hn", "text": "> Getting closer than that with people who have had COVID and tested positive for antibodies with a reliable test is generally ok
I haven't done the research -- but I get the impression that a positive test result in MA, where the base rate is very low, would be more likely a false positive than a true positive.
I suppose the false positive test varies a lot between tests too. But do people generally know which test (and hence which false positive rate) they received?", "timestamp": 1459183733}, {"author": "jefftk", "source_link": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23775910", "anchor": "hn-23775910", "service": "hn", "text": "→ (author)
The person would need to both have pretty plausibly had COVID (positive viral test, clear symptoms during the time when COVID was widespread in their area) and also test positive for antibodies.", "timestamp": 1459183733}, {"author": "remizidae", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#XKLHpcHiWq9a7ccDk", "anchor": "lw-XKLHpcHiWq9a7ccDk", "service": "lw", "text": "Well, that's incredibly strict. Thanks for sharing. I take it all of you are having groceries delivered (I've found it impossible to go to the store without getting <6 feet with multiple people). Are you concerned at all about taking up grocery delivery slots that high-risk people might need? Or are there plenty of grocery delivery slots in your area?", "timestamp": 1594215716}, {"author": "jefftk", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#9PSnC3CpAN43RasX5", "anchor": "lw-9PSnC3CpAN43RasX5", "service": "lw", "text": "→ At this point, you can place an Instacart order here and have it arrive in a few hours; Instacart seems to have gotten over their scaling issues.\n
Earlier we were organizing group buys from a restaurant supplier (our first one: https://www.jefftk.com/p/organizing-a-group-buy-of-flour)\n", "timestamp": 1594216883}, {"author": "David Chudzicki", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#cYc9H93hqGwufssL5", "anchor": "lw-cYc9H93hqGwufssL5", "service": "lw", "text": "→ (I'm one of Jeff's housemates.) Going to the grocery would violate our rules even if you could stay 6ft away, because it's inside.
I guess there's one market in our area that's (a) outside, with (b) careful distancing. Going there would be fine I think, but I don't know if any of us have.", "timestamp": 1594234304}, {"author": "Dagon", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#ELxseM2pJhDoKQ5Ku", "anchor": "lw-ELxseM2pJhDoKQ5Ku", "service": "lw", "text": "Thanks for sharing. How big is your household, and what risk bands do you consider yourselves in? This is more regimented than anyone I know, except for a few immune-compromised friends (and they aren't relaxing much based on current trends).", "timestamp": 1594219772}, {"author": "adamzerner", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#PSGYcanbbZN7vJQfZ", "anchor": "lw-PSGYcanbbZN7vJQfZ", "service": "lw", "text": "→ This is more regimented than anyone I know, except for a few immune-compromised friends (and they aren't relaxing much based on current trends).
FWIW I've been a bit stricter, and I assume a chunk of LessWrongers have been as well.", "timestamp": 1594225372}, {"author": "jefftk", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#Whdmurk9GsDmjNocy", "anchor": "lw-Whdmurk9GsDmjNocy", "service": "lw", "text": "→ \n
How big is your household, and what risk bands do you consider yourselves in?\n\n
Six adults in our 20s-30s, two young children, no one at especially elevated risk.\n", "timestamp": 1594237762}, {"author": "mingyuan", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#jBezomZ5bnj9WmE5q", "anchor": "lw-jBezomZ5bnj9WmE5q", "service": "lw", "text": "→ This is much less strict than most people I know, so this is probably a filter bubble thing?", "timestamp": 1595705438}, {"author": "Kenny", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#K5NPZbFgq77LekEEp", "anchor": "lw-K5NPZbFgq77LekEEp", "service": "lw", "text": "Thanks for this post!\n
I've been thinking about this \u2013 there's a particular person I'd like to start seeing in-person, unrestricted (e.g. inside, without a mask, hugging OK) but my concern is that my network of contacts isn't very strict at all.\n
After reading your post, I'm leaning towards waiting to see the particular person until I can move to a more strictly isolated network.\n
I am tho (slowly) updating towards less restrictions being reasonable. I've observed many people that are probably pretty close to pre-pandemic behavior in terms of unrestricted contact, and with many strangers, and I'm surprised that that doesn't seem to be spreading the virus, or if it is, there's no significant observable consequences (AFAICT).\n
Have you thought about milestones for stepping down isolation further?\n", "timestamp": 1595699791}, {"author": "jefftk", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#2MDQJbJaJpyDbBouh", "anchor": "lw-2MDQJbJaJpyDbBouh", "service": "lw", "text": "→ Where are you? A lot of the analysis in the post is based on Massachusetts doing pretty well now, which isn't universal.\n", "timestamp": 1595702957}, {"author": "Kenny", "source_link": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5yRqio9rRTjCzZ8aj#6wvvkrZEeYG98NCRj", "anchor": "lw-6wvvkrZEeYG98NCRj", "service": "lw", "text": "→ → NYC\n", "timestamp": 1595884083}]}